METR publishes an official note on the limits of its time horizon metric

Published an official note setting out the limitations of the time horizon metric — states an error range of about 2x and that the task distribution is unclear

Why it matters

A case of the issuing organization itself putting the brakes on its own metric being over-generalized when cited

Source — Primary sources first; secondary reports are labelled “Press”

Officialmetr.orghttps://metr.org/notes/2026-01-22-time-horizon-limitations/

Added in Week 35, 2026 · See that week

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